CASE STUDY
A $10m Government-Leased Office in Adelaide: Income Now, Land Value Later
A government lease is the most reliable income in the market and the least reliable forever. We priced the land as though the tenant leaves.
DEAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers.
ASSET CLASS
Office
CLIENT
Private investor seeking secure long-term leased income
LOCATION
Southern suburbs, metropolitan Adelaide, SA
PRICE
Circa $10m
YIELD
6% net
LEASE
Fully leased government office on a long-term lease
CASE NOTES
The full story.
The Brief
An investor seeking a secure, long-term leased government investment. Passive income, minimal management, and a covenant that does not require monitoring.
What a Government Covenant Actually Gives You
Government tenants are treated as the safest covenant available, and for the duration of the lease that is broadly correct. The rent is paid. There is no credit analysis worth conducting. Reporting obligations and procurement processes make the tenancy administratively stable in a way private covenants rarely are.
What a government lease does not provide is permanence. Departments restructure, service delivery models change, and consolidation programmes relocate agencies out of buildings they have occupied for decades — on political and budgetary timetables that have no relationship to an investor’s holding period. A government tenant will not default. It will simply not renew, sometimes with limited notice of the underlying decision.
The failure mode with these assets is the buyer who capitalises a long government lease at a tight yield and treats the exit as somebody else’s problem. When the term runs down, the asset is a purpose-configured office building in a suburban location with a shrinking WALE and a buyer pool that has priced in the same expiry.
How We Underwrote It
We treated the lease as the income case and the land as the value case, and required both to stand independently.
The asset sits on a significant landholding on a main road with future development potential. That is the part of the investment that does not expire. If the government tenant renews, the client holds secure income on a well-located site. If it does not, the client holds a substantial main road landholding with alternative use potential, and the lease simply becomes the income that funded the holding period.
We also examined the underlying use — how embedded the function is in that catchment, and what it would cost the department to relocate — because a tenancy tied to local service delivery behaves very differently from back-office accommodation that can be consolidated anywhere.
The Outcome
A fully leased government office on a significant main road landholding in southern metropolitan Adelaide, acquired at circa $10m on a circa 6% net yield, with a long-term lease in place and development potential underneath it.
THE VANTA LENS
How we read it.
A government lease is the most reliable income in the market and the least reliable forever. The tenant will not default; it will restructure, consolidate and relocate on a timetable set by budget cycles rather than by your holding period. Which means the exit is the whole question, and it should be answered at acquisition rather than discovered at expiry. Here the answer sits under the building: a significant main road landholding with alternative use potential. Price the land as though the tenant leaves, and the renewal becomes upside instead of the entire investment case.